A deterministic [see the note] environment is expected to be ruled by the cause-and-effect relationship among the events occurring upon the space-time
dimensions and the laws of classical mechanics
and of mathematical analysis would be able to explain the whole state-of-the
world. Absence of variability, i.e. the perfect reproducibility of the events
from a given set of inputs, thus characterizes the deterministic condition.
Indeed coming across invariable states not only is not interesting from an
informative and statistical point of view, but it seems also non-plausible in a
biological sense. In fact, the context where the living beings perform their
lives is characterized by several sources of innovation that make uncertainty the dominant factor.
Moreover, the perfect understanding of a system does not hold either in a
closed, axiomatic system (as established by the Gödel’s theorems http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b00dshx3) or in a real physical system (as proven by the Heisenberg uncertainty principle http://www.encyclopediaofmath.org/index.php/Uncertainty_principle).
Because uncertainty is considered a state of limited knowledge about the future
outcome of a system, then it seems “natural” to deal with it in terms of
probability. So, to measure the uncertainty we must take a set of possible
states with their own probabilities of occurrence, in other terms we need to
rely on probability distributions. As consequence, a growing trend in
theoretical neuroscience looks at the brain as a Bayesian system. [1-5]. The
function of this system would be to deduce the causes of sensory inputs in an
optimal way. In order to carry out such a
function, the nervous system would encode probabilistic models. These models
would be updated by neural processing of sensory information using Bayesian
inference [6]. The identification
and weighting of uncertainties is the main content of the decision theory, that has involved since the 20th
century social, behavioral and mathematical sciences (namely, economics,
psychology and statistics). From the interdisciplinary bases of the decision
theory, it has arisen the neuroeconomics
as a field of research of the decision-making (DM) process where neuroscience
gives the neurophysiological framework to the DM problem.
Uncertainty in the DM arises from noisy inputs
or the noisy perception of the inputs (the brain is inherently noisy) and from
the lack of complete knowledge of the outcomes. Thus also DM under uncertainty
needs probabilistic rules and it may be handled by means of the bayesian
theory.
By going into some concepts of
the bayesian inference will provide the key to understanding a possible
efficient mechanism of information processing of the brain.
Bayesian
brain is a notion that explains the brain's
cognitive abilities based on statistical principles. It is, therefore, used to
refer to the ability of the nervous system to operate in situations of
uncertainty in a mode that is close to the optimal one prescribed by bayesian
statistics. According to this conception, it is frequently assumed that the
nervous system maintains internal probabilistic models that are updated
by neural processing of sensory information
using methods approximating those of Bayesian probability [4, 7]. There exists large consensus in the
literature to link bayesian scheme to the function of the brain. For example in
psychophysics, where many aspects of
human perceptual or motor behavior are modeled with bayesian statistics. This
approach, with its emphasis on behavioral outcomes as the ultimate expressions
of neural information processing, is also known for modeling sensory and motor
decisions using bayesian decision theory [8-11]. Besides, many
theoretical studies ask how the nervous system could implement bayesian
algorithms [12]. Statistical
inference is the process of drawing conclusions about an unknown distribution
from data generated by that distribution. Bayesian inference is a type of
statistical inference where data (or new information) is used to update the
probability that a hypothesis is true, that is, a system is said to perform
Bayesian inference if it updates the probability that a hypothesis H is true given some
data D by applying the
Bayes’ rule: p(H|D)=p(D|H)×p(H)/p(D). In other words, this equation states that the probability of the
hypothesis given the data (P(H|D)) is the probability of the data given the
hypothesis (P(D|H)) times the prior probability of the hypothesis (P(H))
divided by the probability of the data (P(D)). Thus, the Bayesian inference
relies on representations of the conditional probability density functions
rather than on single estimates of the parameter values. This enables the
Bayesian system to keep, at each stage of local computation, a representation
of all the possible values of the parameters along with their related
probabilities. The major implication for
the theoretical neuroscience stands at the bayesian
coding hypothesis for which the brain encodes information by probabilistic
rules in a two stages path: firstly, it performs bayesian inference to evaluate
the state-of-the-world and to drive the actions; secondly, it represents the
sensory information in terms of probability density functions [4, 6]. In this way the information is efficiently
processed over the time and space, by integrating different sensory cues and
modalities and by propagating the information from one stage to another during
the DM action.
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the Brain do Plausible Reasoning? Stanford Univ. Microwave Lab. Technical
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Kersten, D., Yuille, A. (1996). A Bayesian Formulation of
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(2002). Pattern Inference Theory: A Probabilistic
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(2004). The Bayesian Brain: The Role of Uncertainty in Neural Coding and
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Approaches to Neural Coding, The MIT Press.
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H., Hudson, T.E., Landy, M.S. (2006). Combining priors and noisy visual cues in a rapid
pointing task . J Neurosci. 26(40): 10154-10163;
- Hudson, T.E.,
Maloney, L.T., Landy, M.S. (2008). Optimal compensation for temporal uncertainty in
movement planning . PLoS Comput Biol. 4(7).
- Battaglia, P.W., Jacobs, R.A., Aslin, R.N. (2003). Bayesian integration of visual and auditory
signals for spatial localization.
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Mathematical Theory of Cortical Micro-circuits. PLoS Comput Biol 5(10).
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